Product × Finance × AI: Financial Products in the Age of AIPart Four · Contract layer On what terms中文
Chapter 25

Mandate parametersThe goals and constraints handed over

"Look after this money for me" is not a mandate that can be executed: it can be read as dozens of entirely different courses of action. What is handed to an agent should be a mandate that states at least four things: what the goal is and how it is measured; what must not be done; what to do in situations the mandate does not cover; and when the mandate needs to be reviewed. The goal should be measurable, but measurable goals get gamed: if the only test is whether the benchmark is beaten, an agent may quietly take on risks no one can see. Nor can a mandate ever be complete; situations it does not cover need a default rule: act conservatively, and stop to ask.

1. One sentence is not enough

Professional asset management sets out the delegation relationship in an investment policy statement: the investor's return objective and risk objective, together with five kinds of constraint covering liquidity, time horizon, taxes, legal matters and personal preferences (Maginn et al., 2007; CFA Institute, 2010). The same holds when handing work to an AI agent. "Look after this money" could mean buying a money market fund, or holding a handful of growth stocks in concentration. Only when the goal, the constraints, the exceptions and the review are spelled out one by one do the feasible courses of action narrow to a few, and only then do the agent's choices have a basis on which they can be checked.

From one sentence to a mandate

"Look after this 500,000 yuan for me." Each dot is one possible course of action. Write the mandate section by section and see how many courses remain.

Illustrative. The structure of the mandate follows the investment policy statement (Maginn et al., 2007; CFA Institute, 2010), with two additions: handling exceptions and review.

2. The goal: what is wanted and how it is measured

"Steady growth" is a wish, not a goal. It could mean a maximum drawdown of no more than 10%, or annualized volatility of no more than 8%, or never losing principal under any circumstances; the three measures lead to very different allocations. A goal must state both the return side and the risk side, and give the benchmark and the horizon for measuring it: over what period, compared with what, and by which measure success is judged. Once the measure is fixed, the agent's behaviour will optimize toward it.

One wish, three ways to measure it

The principal asks for "steady growth". Choose a measure and see the allocation the agent derives from it (illustrative).

StocksBondsDeposits and money market funds
Expected long-run annual return (illustrative)
Worst year in history (illustrative)

Illustrative numbers. The long-run returns and drawdowns of stocks and bonds show direction only and do not correspond to estimates for any market.

3. Constraints: what must not be done

Constraints mark out the range within which the agent may choose. Liquidity constraints say when how much money will be needed. Time-horizon constraints say what the money is ultimately for and when. Tax constraints affect when to sell and in which account to hold. Legal and regulatory constraints set out the instruments that may be held and the ways they may be traded. Personal preferences include industries and companies the user does not want to hold. Each added constraint removes some feasible portfolios; the more clearly the constraints are written, the less likely the agent is to make a choice the user cannot accept after the fact.

Each added constraint leaves fewer portfolios to choose from

Each dot is a candidate portfolio; the horizontal axis is risk and the vertical axis expected return (illustrative). Tick the principal's constraints one by one and see which portfolios remain.

Illustrative. The five kinds of constraint follow the standard classification for investment policy statements (Maginn et al., 2007).

4. Measurable goals get gamed

Goodhart (1975), discussing monetary policy, observed that once a statistical indicator is used as a target for control, it no longer reliably reflects what it was meant to measure. AI researchers call this phenomenon "reward hacking" (Amodei et al., 2016): a system finds a way to improve the indicator that defeats its designers' intent. Finance has a ready-made example. Lo (2001) constructed a hypothetical fund that continually sells out-of-the-money put options: in calm years its returns are steady and beat the market, but when the market falls sharply it loses most of its capital. If the mandate says only "beat the benchmark", such a strategy fully meets the requirement. A goal must be paired with risk constraints, and the constraints must cover tail risks that cannot be seen.

If the only test is "beat the benchmark", which strategy wins?

Strategy B keeps selling out-of-the-money put options: in normal times it earns a little every month, and in a crash it suffers heavy losses. Drag the time to see both curves; then switch on the tail-risk constraint.

A: hold the indexB: keep selling put options

Illustrative paths, based on the hypothetical fund constructed by Lo (2001). On indicators that cease to be reliable once made targets, see Goodhart (1975); on AI systems gaming their metrics, see Amodei et al. (2016).

5. What cannot be written down: default rules and asking

No mandate, however detailed, can foresee every situation. Grossman and Hart (1986) called this the incompleteness of contracts: since not every situation can be specified in advance, what matters is who decides in the situations not covered, and by what rule. For an agent, a reasonable default rule is this: when a situation falls outside the mandate, first take the conservative course, such as pausing new trades and holding the current position; then put the situation and the available options to the principal for decision. Acting entirely on the agent's own judgment, and silently stopping to wait, are both poor defaults.

Situations the mandate does not cover

Eight things happen in a year, and the mandate does not cover three of them. Choose the default rule for what is not covered and see the results.

Actions beyond the mandate
Times the principal is disturbed
Matters delayed

Illustrative. On the incompleteness of contracts and residual rights of decision, see Grossman and Hart (1986).

6. Mandates expire: term and review

A mandate is written at a particular moment, according to the circumstances of that moment. Changes in income or family, or a goal drawing near, can make the original goals and constraints no longer apply; large moves in the market can also carry the original allocation far from what was agreed. Professional practice usually reviews the investment policy statement once a year, and at once when a major event occurs. An agent can do this more finely: it can keep checking whether the premises of the mandate still hold, and when they change, remind the principal to review, rather than continuing to execute a mandate that has already expired.

Mandates expire

Over ten years, several things happen that change the goals and constraints. Compare two ways of reviewing: once a year only, or also at once when an event occurs. Red segments show time during which the mandate no longer fits reality but is still being executed.

Illustrative timeline. Investment policy statements are usually reviewed annually and when major changes occur (Maginn et al., 2007).

7. Implications for product design

Treat the mandate as an object in the product: it has goals, constraints, exception rules and a period of validity, and every step the agent takes can be traced to one of its clauses.

Chapter summary: turning instructions into a mandate

Four design requirements, each corresponding to one mechanism in this chapter.

One sentence is not enoughMake the mandate an object in the product

Goals, constraints, exception rules and period of validity are each visible and editable, and every step the agent takes can be traced to one of them.

The measure shapes behaviourState return, risk, benchmark and horizon in the goal

Translate wishes such as "steady" into measures that can be checked, and ask the principal to confirm them.

Measurable goals get gamedPair the goal with risk constraints that cover the tail

Test strategies under stress scenarios, not just against the benchmark.

Mandates are incomplete and expireDefault to acting conservatively and asking; review on events

In situations not covered, pause and put forward options; remind the principal to review when income, family or goals change.

References